Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 3.901819 4.195603 4.509758 4.872223 5.280820 5.729445 6.262412
2025-04-13 3.350507 3.748010 4.200101 4.758254 5.437259 6.247910 7.306981
2025-04-20 3.034826 3.484930 4.018589 4.709484 5.598147 6.729507 8.326113
2025-04-27 2.876159 3.375390 3.988420 4.815463 5.933805 7.445564 9.746660
2025-05-04 2.750965 3.287565 3.966269 4.915147 6.256716 8.173546 11.313095
2025-05-11 2.605277 3.157465 3.872221 4.900337 6.407918 8.665143 12.609181
2025-05-18 2.473722 3.033732 3.773005 4.862877 6.513349 9.091826 13.881038
2025-05-25 2.326800 2.878708 3.618057 4.728531 6.452460 9.237487 14.674850
2025-06-01 2.210242 2.757199 3.500170 4.636170 6.442807 9.460177 15.659856
2025-06-08 2.137144 2.690516 3.453918 4.644858 6.591928 9.972935 17.363330
2025-06-15 2.089054 2.655252 3.449163 4.714528 6.846223 10.711650 19.789442
2025-06-22 1.982503 2.531808 3.308305 4.559341 6.699400 10.668528 20.357358
2025-06-29 1.888070 2.425204 3.192074 4.444152 6.627241 10.793450 21.488007
2025-07-06 1.806312 2.333862 3.094712 4.354079 6.593893 10.999605 22.948722
2025-07-13 1.743370 2.266810 3.030025 4.312276 6.643263 11.386932 25.105483
2025-07-20 1.717911 2.253218 3.045629 4.404998 6.954335 12.406236 29.803212
2025-07-27 1.692703 2.238405 3.057853 4.492020 7.264730 13.498080 35.600654
2025-08-03 1.647214 2.190789 3.015322 4.479100 7.372061 14.121616 40.125129
2025-08-10 1.600616 2.139464 2.964053 4.446409 7.434140 14.644309 44.717334
2025-08-17 1.539489 2.063580 2.869610 4.329023 7.303990 14.626931 46.684424
2025-08-24 1.489286 2.002886 2.797417 4.248190 7.245473 14.800850 49.922750
2025-08-31 1.459441 1.972678 2.773809 4.255798 7.382315 15.566922 57.623944
2025-09-07 1.441382 1.960094 2.778568 4.316774 7.646635 16.789962 70.624839